Tribal Areas & Afghanistan

Asad Khan Betini




Pakistani leaders are serious about wiping out militancy in the northwest, especially in the Waziristan; the Taliban took over in the past two years. Washington backs the operation, seeing it as a test of Pakistan's resolve to beat al-Qaida and Taliban militants implicated in attacks on Western forces in neighboring Afghanistan. The recent spate of attacks in Peshawar & Islamabad was the challenge for Taliban which they availed the opportunity to kill law enforcement agencies officials, in Islamabad. I would enlighten those days when a suicide bomber in Swat killed at least 30 people and wounded 40 attending Friday prayers at a mosque in Pakistan's northwest on June 5, 2009, violence that came as the country's leaders urged a visiting U.S. envoy for more aid to stave off Taliban-led militancy. The recent spate of deadly suicide attacks including mosque attack in Islamabad were not so different killing hundreds of people and copious injured when US pushed Pakistan to "Do-More" to eliminate Taliban-led militancy. South Waziristan is a tribal region bordering Afghanistan that some suspect will be the next site of military action against the Taliban. The analysts say the Taliban are attacking troops there to distract the army from Operation Rah-e-Nijat. Security forces were still hunting top Taliban commanders and that isolated incidents of violence would likely continue. On the other hand there have been probably completing several months for a subject whether to send more troops to Afghanistan or not amid tension is itinerating on the cranium of Obama Administration and seems like US democrats are not understanding what to do and how to tackle these Taliban, like they will get botched in achieving the goals in Asia as troops have already lost their morale in Afghanistan, yet US has sorted the plan to endow Afghan Military & Afghan Intelligence with sophisticated weaponry and Train Afghan Military through conducting special trainings before quitting Asia, but the Afghan Taliban are muddled up with the local people as they could not be identified easily, this has also made the point to analyze that Afghan Intelligence has failed to recognize Taliban's network being citizen of Afghanistan. Arming the afghan forces will never work against these intelligent warriors because Taliban are comprised by several wings which are working in various directions against US & NATO forces.




On the other hand Hamid Karzai has proved himself as one of the best cherub for the sake of presidency and CIA has assured him to support his government along with his brother Ahmed Wali Karzai in every aspect of life including drugs mafia, and their links are totally combined to CIA & US interests, the same hard work which Noor Muhammad Tarakai played during Soviet involvement in Afghanistan before Soviet was broken by Taliban. This will never bring democracy in entire region as the existing circumstances in Afghanistan are revealing it with the passage of time; US analysts are supposing that Taliban leadership is in Quetta, Which is called Quetta Shura Taliban under ISI protection. If ISI was protecting them then what for US was funding and supporting Pakistan. If Taliban were present in Balochistan then ISI would be the first to hand over them to the US. Balochistan is already suffering from Indian involvement which United States have ignored listening about India. Once drone attacks were started on this belt, one missile fire will create 10 more anti American suicide bombers; this will create more insurgency which Pakistan cannot allow it. Because it is not FATA or tribal belt, all people belong to this belt are well educated and pro Pakistani.




Taliban have made it clear in Afghanistan that under the umbrella of CIA Hamid Karzai would never be accepted by Taliban even if Karzai or CIA offered Taliban for additional talks. Inviting Taliban to the talks illustrates that Taliban could be included in Afghan government, which analysts say that if Taliban were included in the government, then what for US launch eight years prolonged offensive and precious blood of armed forces spewed in such war to perceive this day that Taliban would be included in Afghan Government.




This is also truth that Taliban would never calm down and join the Afghan government until US & NATO forces were present in Afghanistan, Nevertheless Mr. President Barrack Obama & Angela Markel has decided to amplify the number of NATO troops in the region to continue invading central Asia, Markel despite facing local consequences has decided to continue support. Even resignation of the high profile Army officers in Germany she stands as top US ally, but this option would once again lay the troops into chasm if the basic links between Afghans & Taliban remained tied. After increasing of the troops Taliban would continue attacks in the form of Afghan police as already such techniques were used on GHQ attack by Taliban-led mission from FATA.




At the intervening time, the best option remains exit, which US will never frankly apply, for the reason that according to the US defense analyst "The U.S. has staked its international reputation on an acceptable result. To lose in Afghanistan, is to lose everywhere. Lose international credibility and perceptions of capacity and, although it may not be widely recognized, defeat will damage domestic morale. Even losing an unpopular war affects domestic morale. It questions competence of government, irrespective of which government committed the nation to the war. Having deployed in the manner it did, it is in U.S. interest not to lose (which is a little different from must win.) To not lose, translates to mean an acceptable status quo -- an acceptable level of domestic Afghan violence that can seen to be contained by Afghan government. This will be a delicate balance and determined by the nature of the local dynamics. If U.S. adopts a strategy more suited to the location, they stand to gain more than pressing on with expansion of a failing strategy -- which demands more fudging and goal post shifting". The defense analyst has heaved the tip to supervise Afghan domestic structure and the carnage would be limited to Afghan government thus it would not be reckoned in losing war.




The main tip is very simple that there are forming lobbies in Afghan government who are supporting Taliban and providing them intelligence information; this has proved that United States is no more welcomed by Afghan government, and they wish to live their self made life style in order to understand each other, despite making pacts with Russia or Taliban, it will never bring change in the Afghan's life. Its time to equip Pakistan with latest weaponry to protect it from Afghan Taliban otherwise these Taliban would over flow Pakistan & India. This is time to let them decide their own fate, rather than micro manages in Afghanistan or growing there troops. It will never sink the international status of United States and the troops would be saved so.




Author is Director Documentaries of Qaisa Productions based in Balochistan. Email: asdprg@gmail.com