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Monday, August 31, 2009

China Racing Ahead of U.S. in the Drive to Go Solar

By KEITH BRADSHER


WUXI, China - President Obama wants to make the United States "the world's leading exporter of renewable energy," but in his seven months in office, it is China that has stepped on the gas in an effort to become the dominant player in green energy - especially in solar power, and even in the United States.







Suntech, China's biggest solar panel maker, has reduced the price of panels sold in America to build market share.


Chinese companies have already played a leading role in pushing down the price of solar panels by almost half over the last year. Shi Zhengrong, the chief executive and founder of China's biggest solar panel manufacturer, Suntech Power Holdings, said in an interview here that Suntech, to build market share, is selling solar panels on the American market for less than the cost of the materials, assembly and shipping.


Backed by lavish government support, the Chinese are preparing to build plants to assemble their products in the United States to bypass protectionist legislation. As Japanese automakers did decades ago, Chinese solar companies are encouraging their United States executives to join industry trade groups to tamp down anti-Chinese sentiment before it takes root.


The Obama administration is determined to help the American industry. The energy and Treasury departments announced this month that they would give $2.3 billion in tax credits to clean energy equipment manufacturers. But even in the solar industry, many worry that Western companies may have fragile prospects when competing with Chinese companies that have cheap loans, electricity and labor, paying recent college graduates in engineering $7,000 a year.


"I don't see Europe or the United States becoming major producers of solar products - they'll be consumers," said Thomas M. Zarrella, the chief executive of GT Solar International, a company in Merrimack, N.H., that sells specialized factory equipment to solar panel makers around the world.


Since March, Chinese governments at the national, provincial and even local level have been competing with one another to offer solar companies ever more generous subsidies, including free land, and cash for research and development. State-owned banks are flooding the industry with loans at considerably lower interest rates than available in Europe or the United States.


Suntech, based here in Wuxi, is on track this year to pass Q-Cells of Germany, to become the world's second-largest supplier of photovoltaic cells, which would put it behind only First Solar in Tempe, Ariz.


Hot on Suntech's heels is a growing list of Chinese corporations backed by entrepreneurs, local governments and even the Chinese military, all seeking to capitalize on an industry deemed crucial by China's top leadership.


Dr. Shi pointed out that other governments, including in the United States, also assist clean energy industries, including with factory construction incentives.


China's commitment to solar energy is unlikely to make a difference soon to global warming. China's energy consumption is growing faster than any other country's, though the United States consumes more today. Beijing's aim is to generate 20,000 megawatts of solar energy by 2020 - or less than half the capacity of coal-fired power plants that are built in China each year.


Solar energy remains far more expensive to generate than energy from coal, oil, natural gas or even wind. But in addition to heavy Chinese investment and low Chinese costs, the global economic downturn and a decline in European subsidies to buy panels have lowered prices.


The American economic stimulus plan requires any project receiving money to use steel and other construction materials, including solar panels, from countries that have signed the World Trade Organization's agreement on free trade in government procurement. China has not.


In response to this, and to reduce shipping costs, Suntech plans to announce in the next month or two that it will build a solar panel assembly plant in the United States, said Steven Chan, its president for global sales and marketing.


"It'll be to facilitate sales - 'buy American' and things like that," Mr. Chan said, adding that the factory would have 75 to 150 workers and be located in Phoenix, or somewhere in Texas.


But 90 percent of the workers at the $30 million factory will be blue-collar laborers, welding together panels from solar wafers made in China, Dr. Shi said.


Yingli Solar, another large Chinese manufacturer, said on Thursday that it also had a "preliminary plan" to assemble panels in the United States.


Western rivals, meanwhile, are struggling. Q-Cells of Germany announced last week that it would lay off 500 of its 2,600 employees because of declining sales. It and two other German companies, Conergy and SolarWorld, are particularly indignant that German subsidies were the main source of demand for solar panels until recently.


"Politicians might ask whether this is still the right way to do this, German taxpayers paying for Asian products," said Markus Wieser, a Q-Cells spokesman.


But organizing resistance to Chinese exports could be difficult, particularly as Chinese discounting makes green energy more affordable.


Even with Suntech acknowledging that it sells below the marginal cost of producing each additional solar panel - that is, the cost after administrative and development costs are subtracted - any antidumping case, in the United States, for example, would have to show that American companies were losing money as a result.


First Solar - the solar leader, in Tempe - using a different technology from many solar panel manufacturers, is actually profitable, while the new tax credits now becoming available may help other companies.


Even organizing a united American response to Chinese exports could be difficult. Suntech has encouraged executives at its United States operations to take the top posts at the two main American industry groups, partly to make sure that these groups do not rally opposition to imports, Dr. Shi said.


The efforts of Detroit automakers to win protection from Japanese competition in the 1980s were weakened by the presence of Honda in their main trade group; they expelled Honda in 1992.


Some analysts are less pessimistic about the prospects for solar panel manufacturers in the West. Joonki Song, a partner at Photon Consulting in Boston, said that while large Chinese solar panel manufacturers are gaining market share, smaller ones have been struggling.


Mr. Zarrella of GT Solar said that Western providers of factory equipment for solar panel manufacturers would remain competitive, and Dr. Shi said that German equipment providers "have made a lot of money, tons of money."


The Chinese government is requiring that 80 percent of the equipment for China's first municipal power plant to use solar energy, to be built in Dunhuang in northwestern China next year, be made in China.


Dr. Shi said his company would try to prevent similar rules in any future projects.


The reason is clear: almost 98 percent of Suntech's production goes overseas.

UN: Pakistan merits priority aid, despite credit crunch

By Nita Bhalla




ISLAMABAD, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Foreign donors, many of whom are slashing funding due to the global downturn, should give priority to helping Pakistan recover from the war against Taliban militants in its northwest, the United Nations said on Wednesday.




Around 2.3 million people were forced from their homes by an army offensive against the militants in the northwest of the country, mostly since April.




In the past month, more than half of them have returned home only to find their schools bombed, hospitals looted, roads damaged and their crops lost.




Martin Mogwanja, the top U.N. official in Pakistan, told Reuters in an interview there was a serious shortfall of funds to help restore basic services to conflict-affected areas, but he believed the donors would respond, despite the economic crisis.




"Given Pakistan's strategic significance and given the direct relevance of stabilisation of North West Frontier Province (NWFP) to the stabilisation of the region, I would think that the international community is going to prioritise humanitarian assistance to the most vulnerable populations in Pakistan," he said.




Pakistan is a key ally of the United States in its battle to crush Taliban insurgency in Afghanistan and destroy the al Qaeda network in tribal areas straddling the Afghan-Pakistan border.




The U.N. needs around $58 million for what it calls "early recovery" projects -- the provision of food as well as the restoration of schools, hospitals and water supply systems -- in areas such as the former tourist spot of Swat valley.




While foreign donors have given $300 million for the emergency needs of the people, only 3 percent of the money required for early recovery has materialised.




REHABILITATION




Aid workers say the credit crunch has impacted their ability to work effectively both on development and emergency operations as donors have cut their funding across the world.




The U.N. World Food Program has had to cut food aid rations and shut some operations in eastern Africa and North Korea, while aid agencies in India have been reluctant to respond to cyclones and floods this year due to concerns on funding.




Mogwanja, the U.N. Humanitarian Coordinator, said restoring basic services to conflict-affected areas would be the first step in a five-year rehabilitation and reconstruction program which would help address the underlying causes of the conflict in NWFP.




"The situation of poverty and lack of services and the deprivation which comes with that certainly provides fertile ground for extremist militants to undertake their recruitment activities," he said.




"There needs to be investment in human development, particularly in education services, vocational training, food security, clean water and functioning health services."




Economic opportunities -- skilled, semi-skilled and manual jobs "should be made available for Pakistanis who are moving into their early working years," he added.




At an international donors meeting in Turkey this week, Pakistan failed to secure funds of $5.7 billion in aid which was pledged four months ago, with some donors wanting more details of where the money will go.

HARPOONING THE HARPOON



Ghalib Sultan


By a strange coincidence whenever there is going to be legislation on aid or arms sales to Pakistan the US media throws a spanner in the works. This is done by either dredging up the nuclear proliferation issue or coming up with something new. This time it is the idea that Pakistan has modified the US supplied HARPOON sea to sea missile for sea to land attack and has extended its range. Pakistan should be happy to note that it is credited with such technology innovation capabilities but unfortunately the US media is also sometimes a vehicle for indirectly disseminating US official thinking.


That is not all. The US is also the happy hunting ground for various lobbies and the one that has worked against Pakistan is the Israeli-American Jewish and the Indian lobby. India would be at the heart of any such endeavor. There is also the money factor that works so well in Washington DC with lobbyists all over the landscape.



Read Complete Article : HARPOONING THE HARPOON

US refuses to discuss Blackwater mission in Pakistan



Expert says Washington does not need private security personnel for domination





By Ansar Abbasi




ISLAMABAD: While in Pakistan there are growing reports of the presence of Blackwater personnel, at home in America the US security agency's founder and former owner is alleged to have used the company as "merchants of death" as he views himself as a "Christian crusader tasked with eliminating Muslims and the Islamic faith from the globe".




Defence analysts and Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaaf Information Secretary Dr Shireen M Mazari in her article in The News, published on Wednesday, claimed that after Peshawar now Islamabad has Blackwater (now hiding under the new label, Xe Worldwide) and the rather obvious CIA front-company Creative Associates International Inc (CAII). She cited the last week sealing off of the road in Super Market in front of a school as the endorsement of her information.




US embassy spokesman Richard W Snelsire, however, when asked about the presence of Blackwater personnel in Pakistan, said, "We don't discuss security, issues related to the security that include the contractors, who are assigned the security tasks." Snelsire or Rick, as he is commonly known, said that making public such details would endanger lives. He said that 95% of the security personnel doing security work with the US embassy and its officials are from the Pakistani security companies. Regarding Marines, he said that presently the US embassy has only eight Marines and when the expansion project of the embassy would complete in years to come, this strength would go up to 15-20 maximum.




Rick though did not want to discuss anything about the American security contractors assigned security task here, there are many here who talk of the presence of Blackwater personnel here. A senior lady anchorperson was heard sharing her information about Blackwaters with a senior PML-N leader during Nawaz Sharif's recent interaction with a group of newspaper and electronic media journalists.




She insisted that the Blackwater operators are in Peshawar, Quetta and Islamabad. She also said that in the recent Pearl Continental terrorist attack in Peshawar, amongst other two Blackwater men were also killed. Blackwater is a US security company that has track record in Iraq where they killed innocents.




Foreign Office spokesman Abdul Basit was not in Pakistan to confirm if the foreign security contractor hired by the US embassy is Blackwater.




Meanwhile at home in US, the Blackwater is facing a district court in Alexandria, which will decide whether one of the darkest chapters of the Bush era, the relationship between the administration and the private security company Blackwater, should be re-examined?




According to SPIEGEL ONLINE, a German publication, some of Blackwater's former employees want to shine light on the company's shadowy activities. In just one incident, according to the report, 17 people including women and children were killed on Sept 16, 2007 at Nisoor Square in Baghdad by mercenaries working for Blackwater.




Erik Prince, Blackwater's founder and former owner, is referred in the suit, filed by one Susan Burke as a "modern-day merchant of death," and she alleged that the 40-year-old created a "culture of lawlessness and unaccountability" at Blackwater, where the "excessive and unnecessary use of deadly force" was commonplace. In her motion, Burke also accuses Blackwater of war crimes.




The US District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, in Alexandria, Virginia, will now decide whether to take on Burke's civil suit. Burke now plans to call 40 witnesses to testify against Prince. If the court agrees to hear her suit on Friday, eyewitnesses to the various killings will be summoned from Baghdad.




Meanwhile, a Pakistani expert on Pak-US relations deplored that the Pakistanis used to indulge in politics of blame games. On condition of not being named, he said in the presence of its army in Iraq, the US did not need security personnel of its private companies to fight civilians or dominate the host country. He said when the US missions or buildings came under attack in Iraq, several innocent women and children of US citizens are also killed. Similarly, he said it is possible that in retaliatory attack by the security personnel civilians including women and children are killed. He said such casualties do occur in the situation of war and they are always unintentional. He said such killings should not be portrayed as campaign to kill innocent Muslims.

About Tomcats


Ahsan Waheed


Billa is the local Urdu word for Tomcat. Tomcats as you know are notorious for their lack of morals, ethics and loyalty. Billa is also the nickname in Punjabi for someone with tomcat-like grey eyes and again such people are considered shifty and unreliable-wrongly of course. Tomcats are tomcats and people are people-the Billa epithet notwithstanding.


These days we are being regaled by the unseemly sights and sounds of people spilling their guts in front of TV anchors employed by a commercial and sensation oriented media. In fact there seems to be a competition of sorts among the anchors 'to do more'. What is amazing is that the Army fighting and dying on the western border is forgotten as is the fact that a resurgent TTP has struck thrice in three days with major attacks and that Al Qaeda has struck in the heart of the security apparatus of Saudi Arabia. Nobody is analyzing these developments.



Read Complete Article : http://pakistan-pal.newsvine.com/_news/2009/08/31/3209993-about-tomcats-

US peace plan gives Israel too much


The Middle East talks look like an act of grand displacement unless Obama stops giving Israel an unequal say



Peter Beaumont


It may be early days in the hammering out of the details of a new US-sponsored plan to broker a resumption of Middle East peace talks, but what are clearly visible are the operating assumptions. At their very heart, the reporting in this paper suggests, is what the government of Binyamin Netanyahu has always wanted: a link between Iran's nuclear programme and a very partial freeze on settlement building, offered in exchange for opening up an even more partial track of a peace process whose focus would be on the West Bank.


A step forward? Hardly. For while one cannot deny that Israel is afraid of Iran, its overstated fears of the "existential threat" that the Islamic Republic poses serve a useful diplomatic purpose. That is to make Israeli-Palestinian peace talks contingent on progress in an unrelated and equally difficult issue. In that respect it is nothing less than a grand act of displacement that makes the prospect of a final settlement more distant still rather than hauling it closer.


The explicit linkage is, in any case, a dangerous gambit. The logic of tough sanctions against Iran's oil and gas industry under consideration, on which Tehran's economy depends, is dangerously close to an act of war in itself. An act of war, it should be said, that would be framed not only by the circumstances of Iran's intransigence over its nuclear ambitions (which make many neighbouring Arab states nervous) but by the demands of Israel, an entirely different circumstance. On the entirely practical front, regarding Iran, the factoring in of Israel's desires into a new round of sanctions hardly seems likely to persuade Iran's leaders to behave in a different fashion.


The truth is that Iran is for Israel - as for the rest of the region and the international community - a geopolitical challenge, not an "existential threat". What Israel's politicians and generals fear as much as the overstated threat of annihilation is a redrawing of the military balance that would undermine Israel's unique nuclear capability in the region, weakening its capacity for military deterrence, so long a bulwark of its foreign policy.


And it is not only in the regard of any linkage to Iran that the new assumptions appear deeply flawed.


Netanyahu, despite the claims of some, has yet to show himself as a partner for peace - the demand made so often of Palestinians by Israel. His marked ambivalence over a two-state solution is compounded by the fact that he has shown himself (like other Israeli leaders before him) to have little regard for either international opinions or the obligations that Israel has entered regarding settlement building, which was supposed to have been frozen with President George W Bush's road map and yet has continued unfettered.


Instead, the only concession that has been wrung out of Netanyahu appears to have been the promise of a partial and temporary freeze. His refusal to accept his obligations to a total cessation on building are instructive: not least because Netanyahu believes that President Bush gave Israel the green light to annexe some of the settlement blocks as part of a future land swap deal.


All that is on offer from Israel for now is a loosening of the strangulation imposed on the West Bank by Israeli checkpoints that had fragmented it into so many bantustans, whose gradual removal - unsurprisingly - has stimulated Palestinian economic growth once more. Far from moving forward, what is visible is a small step towards renormalising the lives of Palestinians from a low point, not improving them.


And what is glaring is what is hardly mentioned - the question of Hamas-run Gaza still under a crushing Israeli economic siege, except to deliver the somewhat distant promise to them that if Gaza's people divest themselves of the Islamist movement (who lest we forget won the 2006 Palestinian elections) then they might get some of what the West Bank is getting now. It is precisely this that Israel's ambassador to London, Ron Prosor - writing in the Telegraph without a hint of irony - sees fit to congratulate his country on. How Israel is helping the Palestinian Authority to strengthen the Palestinian infrastructure that - he forgets to mention - his country has done so much to dismantle.


Perhaps we should not be surprised by any of this. Netanyahu has been here before, managing Israel's position through a combination of dogged obstructionism - including his "three nos" - so that when he offers the slightest concession it is seized on by the international community as a leap forward. Netanyahu today seems to be replicating precisely his tactics during his previous period as prime minister from 1996 to 1999, going through the motions of talking yet delivering almost nothing.


And what appears to be driving the logic of this cynical deal-making in progress is fear. Not Israel's fear of Tehran - although that informs it - but rather the fear in Washington, London and elsewhere that Israel might pre-empt the imposition of a new economic sanctions regime by launching a unilateral attack on Iran. The reality then - unsurprisingly - is that once again it appears to be Israel that is dictating what is in Israel's and the region's interest, with the US foreign policy falling into step.


If all this is disappointing it is because it all seems so distant from the rhetoric of Barack Obama's speech in Cairo in June where he promised a new beginning to America's relationship with the Muslim world. Then Obama insisted that he believed that the situation for the "Palestinian people is intolerable", adding: "the obligations that the parties have agreed to under the road map are clear. For peace to come, it is time for them - and all of us - to live up to our responsibilities." They are words that appear to have been forgotten in the anxiety to get a deal. Any deal. At any cost.


If these then are the assumptions driving forward the present attempt to wrestle out a new dialogue for peace, then the seeds of its failure have already been sown. For as Jonathan Freedland wrote here, the reason that "successive efforts at peace have failed" is because they "ducked the core, existential issues of 1948". His suggestion that what is required is more than a mechanistic formula of land swaps and compensation packages is right. But something more fundamental is required.


A truly honest and equitable approach - as suggested by Obama in Cairo - requires the abandonment of an unequal approach that for too long has allowed Israel a unique say in defining and redefining the contingent conditions for each step of progress. Depressingly the indications are that there is very little chance of that. And if that is true, Obama will have failed in the "responsibility" he set for himself.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Mission Afghanistan



Brian Cloughley



British politicians, especially the deeply insipid Prime Minister Gordon Brown, want people to believe their foolish Afghan adventure is essential because, they say, there are still terror plots in progress




There is talk of the war in Afghanistan being "Obama's Vietnam", but while there are some similarities the main thing of note is that the Afghan war was begun by a group of malevolent bullies in Washington who were addicted to violence and held that diplomacy was for fainthearted. Their arrogance was illustrated by use of overwhelming military power.




But President Obama seems to be less partial to the policy of joy through strength than was his appalling predecessor. Ms Clinton, his feisty Secretary of State, while not averse to flexing American muscle, has demonstrated subtlety and sagacity, thanks to Mr Obama's guidance.




It is not the fault of either of them that Iraq has been wrecked as a country, with continuing atrocities causing scores of deaths. It is not their fault that two million Iraqi refugees are living lives of desperation in Syria, Jordan and Lebanon, or that there are over two million internally displaced refugees whose lives have been shattered by America's war.




Such has been the legacy of Bush-Cheney in Iraq; but what of their war on Afghanistan?




Unfortunately, developments in the Afghan war are reminiscent of the Vietnam debacle, which was embraced without long-term planning, and there seems to have been little change. In his superb book about the Vietnam war, The Best and the Brightest, the late David Halberstam described a meeting between President Lyndon Johnson and retired General Ridgeway, who had saved the day for US and UN forces in the Korean war.




Ridgeway had reservations about America's war in Vietnam, and Johnson asked his advice in 1968 when the commander in Vietnam was the curiously ingenuous General Westmoreland. So Ridgeway went to the White House with Vice President Humphrey to talk about it. Johnson was called to the telephone and then: "Ridgeway turned to Humphrey and said there was one thing about the war that puzzled him. 'What's that?' Humphrey asked. 'I have never known what the mission for General Westmoreland was,' Ridgeway said. "That's a good question,' said Humphrey. 'Ask the President.' But when Johnson returned he immediately got into one of his long monologues about his problems...and the question was never asked."




Neither has it been asked forcefully in Washington or London concerning Afghanistan. The British foreign minister, one David Miliband, said last month that "This is a mission that's been developed with a very clear strategy: above all, to make us safer here because we know these areas of Afghanistan and its neighbour Pakistan are used to launch terrorism around the world. So the mission for us is clear."




But no "clear mission" has been enunciated in military terms.




British and American and other soldiers are being killed in Afghanistan, and their deaths are not making the world a less dangerous place. Further, British soldiers are dying because there are far too few of them to secure the vast area for which they have been given responsibility by the politicians. They are dying because they lack essential equipment, courtesy of a criminally incompetent defence ministry. They are dying because nobody knows how to stop the slaughter.




The smug and ignorant machine politician Miliband, barely comprehensible in his ungrammatical spluttering, declared that the war in Afghanistan "is a security challenge of the highest order. It's based on real facts about murder that's being done [sic] to British citizens both in Britain and around the world from this place...70 percent of the terrorist plots that are pursued in Britain are linked to the badlands between Afghanistan and Pakistan."




(This is the oaf who said in an interview a few days ago that he believed there are times when which terrorism is "justifiable, and yes, there are circumstances in which it is effective." Of course he was talking about terrorist bombers of the African National Congress killing people in South Africa, which atrocities are, to him, different from other terrorist murders.)




But let's look at the Miliband assertion that 70 percent of terrorist plots in Britain are "linked to the badlands".




There have been two recent terrorist attacks in Britain: in London in July 2005 and Glasgow in June 2007. There were also two abortive bombing attempts in the same months.




Of the perpetrators, none came from the "badlands". All were British residents or citizens, and planning took place in Britain.




But British politicians, especially the deeply insipid Prime Minister Gordon Brown, want people to believe their foolish Afghan adventure is essential because, they say, there are still terror plots in progress. Mind you, he conjured up a different percentage figure: according to Brown, 75 percent of plots were laid in Afghanistan or Pakistan. Any advance on 75 percent?




He burbled that "We are trying to deal with the terrorist threat to prevent attacks here [the UK] and elsewhere," and "three quarters of the most serious plots against the UK have links into these [Afghan] mountains."




How many of these plots are there? If there are eight, then six are linked; if there are 60, then 45. But if Brown knows exactly how many - which he must do, otherwise he couldn't state precisely that three quarters of them come from "these mountains" - then why are there no prosecutions? Surely they can't all be bubbling away, with all details known by the spooks and the government, without action being taken? Why not arrest some of these dangerous terrorists?




Brown declared in July that Britain's Afghan war is "a patriotic duty", which is always an attractive fallback position for politicians. It was Doctor Samuel Johnson who said that that "patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel", and he certainly summed up prime minister Brown and his dismal entourage, who, at a loss to explain their shambles in Afghanistan, continue to sacrifice the lives of British soldiers.




What is the mission of foreign troops in Afghanistan?




Good question. But there are no good answers.




The writer can be found on the web at www.beecluff.com

Friday, August 28, 2009

Afghanistan's Sham Vote



By JEAN MacKENZIE


The dust had barely settled on the Afghan elections before the U.S. government, the United Nations and the European Union were hailing them as a success, commending voters for their heroism and election workers for their relative efficiency.


This would be laughable if it were not such a great shame. The elections were severely marred by violence and widespread fraud, and the results are unlikely to placate a population already frustrated by eight years of mismanagement and corruption.


The haste with which U.N. Special Representative Kai Eide held a press conference to say that Aug. 20 was "a good day for Afghanistan" merely served to underscore the central, if unappetizing, truth about the Afghan poll: It was never meant for the Afghans.


Instead, it was intended to convince voters in New York, London, Paris and Rome that their soldiers and their governments have not been wasting blood and treasure in their unfocused and ill-designed attempts to bring stability to a small, war-torn country in South Asia.


If last Thursday was, indeed, a "good day," one would have to wonder what a bad day looks like. There were three explosions in Kabul by 8:00 a.m., and several more during the voting period.


Reporters calling in to our news bureau from the south were dodging rockets all day - we could hear explosions in the background as they filed their stories. By day's end 14 rockets had fallen on Helmand Province, 17 on Kandahar.


At least 30 people died, and possibly many more. How many we do not know exactly, since the Afghan government imposed a news blackout on reporting violence during the elections.


Turnout was minimal. Even in Kabul, polling stations were half empty. During parliamentary elections in 2005, barely 36 percent of registered voters in the capital went to the polls. What I saw last Thursday fell far below even that modest threshold. Nevertheless, the Independent Election Commission is claiming the turnout was between 40 and 50 percent.


The figure is merely notional. For one thing, in a country where there are no voter rolls, there are not even approximate figures for how many voters there actually are. The I.E.C. can say with confidence that there have been about 17 million voter registration cards issued in Afghanistan since 2004. But many voters have multiple cards, or have lost their old ones and acquired replacements.


Media sources claim that 7 million people voted last Thursday. What they actually mean is that 7 million ballots were cast. This is far from the same thing. Voting requires merely the number of a voter registration card. There are no signatures, no thumbprints. Tribal leaders (who in many cases were administering polling stations) have been collecting and copying voter registration cards for weeks, telling villagers that it was necessary in order to register them for material assistance.


All that was needed on election day was a low voter turnout. If by day's end, for example, 100 people had voted, but there were actually 500 registered cards in a district, the polling center administrator could cast up to 400 ballots for the candidate of his choice.


Hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent on what is, essentially, a charade. But that is not the real tragedy of these elections. What the international community has done is demonstrate to Afghans that democracy is a sham. Trust in these elections has been very low among Afghans from the outset.


President Hamid Karzai will most likely receive more than 50 percent of the vote in the first round, leaving the international community in a bit of a quandary. "We cannot just let him walk away with it," fumed one foreign diplomat.


But what choice is there? For weeks the E.U., the U.S. Embassy and other international players have been predicting that the vote will go to a second round. The only way this can happen is if the Electoral Complaints Commission disallows enough votes to bring Mr. Karzai under 50 percent.


Then there will be a runoff, most likely between Mr. Karzai and his main rival, former Foreign Minister Dr. Abdullah Abdullah, in early October. And then Mr. Karzai will win, since Mr. Abdullah is unlikely to appeal to a majority of the voters, given his mixed ethnicity and Northern Alliance background.


"That will look more like democracy, won't it?" said one international observer.


Over the next three weeks or so, the Electoral Complaints Commission will vet complaints and make recommendations. Only then will we know what happens in Act Two.


"No person wants to live in a society where the rule of law gives way to the rule of brutality and bribery. That is not democracy, that is tyranny, even if occasionally you sprinkle an election in there," President Barack Obama said.


He was not discussing Afghanistan, of course: He was speaking to the Parliament of Ghana. But his words ring just as true in Kabul.



Jean MacKenzie is the director of the Institute for War and Peace Reporting in Afghanistan, and the Kabul correspondent for GlobalPost.com

Russia, US eye joint missile control centre

Ulan Bator: Russia and the US are planning creation of a missile monitoring centre, possibly in Moscow, to avoid accidents or misunderstandings on missile launches, Russia's top general said on Wednesday.






"Work is being done on making a joint control post to ensure control of missile launches and to report any unauthorised launches," General Nikolai Makarov said in Mongolia where President Dmitry Medvedev was visiting.


Russia strongly opposes US plans to install a new missile shield in eastern Europe. The administration of President Barack Obama says it is reviewing those plans and wants to ease Moscow's security concerns.




Moscow says the planned US missile shield threatens Russian security. Washington says this is not the intent of its system, which is designed instead to counter growing missile threats from "rogue states," Iran in particular.




The two sides have in recent years explored various confidence-building ideas, including incorporating a Russian radar site in Azerbaijan into the US system and giving Russian personnel access to US missile defence sites.




Makarov said talks on establishing a joint Russia-US missile launch monitoring facility was not new.




Such a centre would permit Moscow and Washington to communicate instantly in the event of an unexpected missile launch and would "protect our countries from a possible accident situation that could arise" in this regard, he said.




Bureau Report

Israel, US agree on need for “meaningful” talks with Palestinians




Washington, 26 August (WashingtonTV)-Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US Middle East envoy George Mitchell emerged from a four-hour meeting in London on Wednesday, agreeing that "meaningful" talks must start with Palestinians.







George Mitchell and Benjamin Netanyahu


A joint statement characterized the meeting as "good", but made no mention of the thorny issue of Israeli settlements, reports the Jerusalem Post.


The Obama administration has pressed Israel to freeze all settlement activity, as part of Washington's efforts to kick-start the stalled peace process. Netanyahu has said he would limit construction to what is necessary to meet growing population needs in existing communities, reports the Bloomberg news network.


It was agreed that Israeli officials would travel to the United States next week for further meetings with Mitchell and his staff.


"The prime minister and George Mitchell agreed that there is a need to begin meaningful negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians in order to move towards a regional peace agreement," the statement said, according to AFP.


The two men also agreed "that all sides should take practical steps to advance peace."


Speaking alongside Mitchell before their meeting, Netanyahu said he hoped peace negotiations would resume "shortly", reports the Jerusalem Post.


Palestinian officials said today that Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas was willing to meet Netanyahu on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly session next month.


The officials, who spoke to the Jerusalem Post on the condition of anonymity, said that the meeting would be a chance to talk, but would not amount to negotiations. Abbas has refused to resume peace talks until Israel halts all settlement activity.


Israel's ambassador to the United Nations, Gabriela Shalev, also said today that a three-way meeting between US, Israeli and Palestinian leaders on the sidelines of the General Assembly session was "a possibility".


Briefing reporters traveling with him, Netanyahu said that the real obstacle to peace was not the settlements, but the Palestinian refusal to recognize Israel as a Jewish state, reports Bloomberg news.


On Thursday, Netanyahu will meet German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin, where he is expected to discuss sanctions against Iran.

Afghan Democracy and COIN



Jennifer Andrew


Despite attempts to impose democracy in Afghanistan the very approach appears to be undermining U.S. counterinsurgency. According to BBC election watch, As it happened: Afghan election 2009, the elections were marred by widespread and deadly Taliban attacks, patchy turn-out and claims of fraud. It is learned, through Nader Naderi, Director, monitoring organization of Free and Fair Elections in Afghanistan (FEFA) that the Taliban had first threatened and later actually amputated ink-stained fingers; in the countryside they set up roadblocks to keep people from getting into polling stations; in major towns they launched bomb and rocket attacks to keep people homebound. In many areas no one dared to designate polling stations for women.


Envisioned to stimulate necessary mechanism of governance required to hold 'something of Afghanistan' accountable for the aid and assistance injected in the theatre of doom, the ongoing presidential elections have yielded fierce reaction from the leading Pushtoon population. Taliban and their nationalist allies, who constitute majority of the Pushtoons have rejected the election as a fraud concocted to validate prolonged stay by the 'foreign occupiers'. They would only participate in the elections when US and NATO troops withdraw. Moreover, these elections have obliged Karzai to shed all that dignifies by enforcing bills that legalize marital rapes and allow husbands to starve their wives on their refusal to have sex; teaming up with notorious drug/warlords - all to fortify his chances of winning. Clearly this doesn't look quite like the investment the American and British taxpayers had in mind and lies far beyond the premise of receiving fresh body bags every week in return for enormous aid packages.



Read Complete Article : http://jenniferandrew6.newsvine.com/_news/2009/08/28/3200876-afghan-democracy-and-coin

The N-terrorism threat?



By Amjed Jaaved





Foreign media continues to express doubts about security and safety of Pakistan's nuclear materials. It is suggested that terrorists may steal radioactive material to fabricate a 'dirty bomb', a euphemism for a radiological-dispersal device. It is claimed that facilities housing the nuclear and radiological material, including spent-fuel storage and fuel-cycle facilities, are an easy prey for the terrorists or religious extremists in Pakistan.




Dr Shaun Gregory, in his article 'The terrorist threat to Pakistan's nuclear weapons', went as far as to claim that three attacks on Pakistan's nuclear facilities have already taken place: one on nuclear-missile-storage facility at Sargodha (November 1, 2007), the second on Pakistan's Nuclear Air Base at Kamra (December 10, 2007), and the third on Wah Armament Complex (August 20, 2008). Shaun's article appeared in CTC Sentinel (July 2009 edition, vol 2, issue 7). The content, tone and tenor of his story was, understandably, orchestrated in pro-Israel Canadian newspaper National Post (July 18, 2009), the Times of India (August 11, 2009), and aired on Indian channel 'Times Now' orchestrated the story on August 11, 2009. The purpose was to bring into limelight 'vulnerability' of Pakistan's nuclear sites and stores.




The truth about the attacks is that they are all figments of rotten imagination. The attack in Sargodha was on PAF staff bus, and the one at Kamra was on a school-children's bus. The Wah attack was on labourers of the factory. For one thing, the factory does not produce nuclear armaments.




Professor Shaun Gregory had earlier also published a malicious report titled "Security of Nuclear Weapons". It contends that those guarding about 120 nuclear weapon sites, mostly in northern and western parts of Pakistan, have fragmented loyalties. As such, they may aid or abet terrorists' attacks on or theft of nuclear materials from the facilities. Shaun echoes 'concern', through baseless, expressed earlier by Frederick W Kegan and Michael O'Hanlen in their 'research paper' "Securing the Bomb". The paper suggests that, in case of take-over of Pakistan by religious extremists (Taliban, al-Qaeda, et al.), the country's nuclear material should be seized and stashed in some 'safe' place like New Mexico (USA).




Douglas Frantz and Catherine Collins, authors of The Nuclear Jihadist, also suggest that Pakistan's A-bombs may fall into hands of Osama Bin Laden who may use it against the West. Harvard professor Matthew Bunn says, he would not live either in New York or Washington for possibility of a nuclear attack.




Pakistan's critics, mysteriously, fail to mention that there has been no security lapse in or theft of radioactive material from any of Pakistan's nuclear establishments. It is worth mentioning that Pakistan is a party to the United Nations' Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Materials. The steps taken by Pakistan to safeguard its nuclear assets conform to international standards.




Abdul Mannan, in his paper titled "Preventing Nuclear Terrorism in Pakistan: Sabotage of a Spent Fuel Cask or a Commercial Irradiation Source in Transport", has analysed various ways in which acts of nuclear terrorism could occur in Pakistan (quoted in "Pakistan's Nuclear Future: Worries beyond War"). He has fairly reviewed Pakistan's vulnerability to nuclear terrorism through hypothetical case studies. He concludes that the threat of nuclear terrorism in Pakistan is a figment of imagination, rather than a real possibility.




There are millions of radioactive sources used worldwide in various applications. Only a few thousand sources, including Co-60, Cs-137, Ir-192, Sr-90, Am-241, Cf-252, Pu-238, and RA-226 are considered a security risk. The Pakistan Nuclear Regulatory Authority (PNRA) has enforced a mechanism of strict measures for administrative and engineering control over radioactive sources from cradle to grave. It conducts periodic inspections and physical verifications to ensure security of the sources. The Authority has initiated a Five-Year National Nuclear-Safety-and-Security-Action Plan to establish a more robust nuclear-security regime. It has established a training centre and an emergency-coordination centre, besides deploying radiation-detection-equipment at each point of nuclear-material entry in Pakistan, supplemented by vehicle/pedestrian portal monitoring equipment where needed.




Fixed detectors have been installed at airports, besides carrying out random inspection of personnel luggage. All nuclear materials are under strict regulatory control right from import until their disposal.




The 'research work' by well-known scholars reflects visceral hatred against Pakistan. The findings in fresh 'magnum opuses' are a re-hash or amalgam of the presumptions and pretensions in earlier-published 'studies'. Will the Western press stop churning out reports about vulnerability of nuclear Pakistan? It is time that the West deflected its attention to India where movements of nuclear materials, under 123 expansion plan, would take place between nuclear-power plants sprawling across different states.




. The writer has been contributing free-lance, at home and abroad, for the past 37 years.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Israeli FM wants to restrict access to foreign service




JERUSALEM - Israeli ultra-nationalist Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman said on Monday that he wanted to impose restrictions on those wishing to become career diplomats, a move that would bar most Israeli Arabs.







Avigdor Lieberman


"All those who wish to join the foreign ministry's diplomatic training programme must serve in the army or perform the equivalent civil service," a senior official quoted Lieberman as saying during a meeting at the ministry.


The move would effectively bar most Israeli Arabs, along with ultra-Orthodox Jews, from becoming foreign ministry employees as they do not perform Israel's mandatory military service and few serve in civil service.


Lieberman vowed to change legislation if needed to enact the measure, as current Israeli law guarantees all citizens equal access to civil service branches.


The one-time bouncer and immigrant from the Soviet Union is known for his anti-Arab diatribes that have earned him the label of "racist" from critics.

World’s 5th largest gold, copper reserves found in Pakistan

by Jahanzaib


The 'Reko Dik Copper-gold project' is expected to produce 0.3 million tons of copper annually through indigenous physical and human capabilities. However, this is subject to entering into viable agreement between the mining company, federal government and Balochistan government.


The Duddar lead-zinc deposits in Balochistan being developed by Pakistan Mineral Development Corporation (PMDC) have come into production to produce 100,000 tons of zinc concentrates and 33,000 tons of lead concentrates for export.


Official reports reveal that the mineral sector is expected to grow by two per cent in the fiscal year, beginning next month with an allocation of Rs580 million earmarked by the Planning Commission in its annual plan.


The government has decided to launch three projects during the coming fiscal year which include ground follow-up of aeromagnetic anomalies in Chagai district, accelerated Geological Mapping and Geochemical exploration of the out-crop area of Pakistan, and up-gradation and strengthening of Geo-sciences Advance Research Laboratories of Geological Survey of Pakistan (GSP).


The Thar coal field containing 175 billion tons of good quality lignite, on completion, would be used for power generation and gasification.


Non-precious minerals are also to be fully utilized, such as producing gypsum plaster from native deposits to partially replace cement in the housing sector, as well as to reclaim saline soils and treat of low quality tube-well water using gypsum products.


Phosphate reserves in NWFP, evaluated by spending colossal amounts of money and tireless efforts by international organizations and national institutions, would be exploited to set up phosphatic fertilizer industries.


Dimension stones, precious and semi precious stones industries and other mineral based industries would be developed to meet the ever increasing demand of various sectors of economy.


The mineral potential of the country recognized to be excellent but the sector remains poorly developed due to the political and security situation, poor research and development, infra-structure and budgetary constraints. The contribution to GNP has therefore remained locked at 0.5 per cent to one per cent over the last several decades.


The 'Reko Dik Copper-gold project' is expected to produce 0.3 million tons of copper annually through indigenous physical and human capabilities. However, this is subject to entering into viable agreement between the mining company, federal government and Balochistan government.


The Duddar lead-zinc deposits in Balochistan being developed by Pakistan Mineral Development Corporation (PMDC) have come into production to produce 100,000 tons of zinc concentrates and 33,000 tons of lead concentrates for export.


Official reports reveal that the mineral sector is expected to grow by two per cent in the fiscal year, beginning next month with an allocation of Rs580 million earmarked by the Planning Commission in its annual plan.


The government has decided to launch three projects during the coming fiscal year which include ground follow-up of aeromagnetic anomalies in Chagai district, accelerated Geological Mapping and Geochemical exploration of the out-crop area of Pakistan, and up-gradation and strengthening of Geo-sciences Advance Research Laboratories of Geological Survey of Pakistan (GSP).


The Thar coal field containing 175 billion tons of good quality lignite, on completion, would be used for power generation and gasification.


Non-precious minerals are also to be fully utilized, such as producing gypsum plaster from native deposits to partially replace cement in the housing sector, as well as to reclaim saline soils and treat of low quality tube-well water using gypsum products.


Phosphate reserves in NWFP, evaluated by spending colossal amounts of money and tireless efforts by international organizations and national institutions, would be exploited to set up phosphatic fertilizer industries.


Dimension stones, precious and semi precious stones industries and other mineral based industries would be developed to meet the ever increasing demand of various sectors of economy.


The mineral potential of the country recognized to be excellent but the sector remains poorly developed due to the political and security situation, poor research and development, infra-structure and budgetary constraints. The contribution to GNP has therefore remained locked at 0.5 per cent to one per cent over the last several decades.







Now the question is:


Pakistan Got 5th Largest Copper Reserves and also Largest Coal Reserve. Where all the Money will go either Government Personal account. Will it effect to decrease the unemployment in Pakistan and will it help to decrease the poverty in pakistan. Time to Think really and raise your voice: Because I am sure Government can show loss in paper but orginally they are filling their bank accounts. Playing with the feelings of Nation. Do it Now or Never; It's in your hand. Show the national Responsibility and SAVE PAKISTAN.

Joint Chiefs chairman says Afghan conflict "deteriorating"



By Phil Stewart


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The situation in Afghanistan is deteriorating along with U.S. public support for the war, Washington's top military officer said on Sunday as he left open the possibility of another increase in troops.


"I think it is serious and it is deteriorating, and I've said that over the past couple of years -- that the Taliban insurgency has gotten better, more sophisticated," said Admiral Mike Mullen, chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff.


U.S. combat deaths have risen since U.S. President Barack Obama ordered a troop buildup to confront a resurgent Taliban, with a record 44 U.S. troops killed in Afghanistan in July.


A new Washington Post-ABC News poll showed a majority of Americans believe the war in Afghanistan is not worth fighting, and just a quarter say more troops should be sent there.


"Certainly the numbers are of concern," Mullen said on NBC's "Meet the Press." But he later added, "this is the war we're in."


Mullen said the new commander of U.S. and NATO forces in Afghanistan, Gen. Stanley McChrystal, was "wrapping up" his assessment of the situation and would submit it in a couple of weeks.


Mullen said he would evaluate whether more troops were needed after reviewing McChrystal's report.


"We'll see where that goes once the assessment is in here," he said. "And I've had this conversation with the president, who understands that whatever the mission is, it needs to be resourced correctly."


McChrystal's report, originally due in mid-August, was expected after the Afghan election process is completed. Counting is under way following Thursday's election, which drew allegations of vote rigging Sunday from Afghan President Hamid Karzai's main challenger.



NO "ENDLESS DRIFT"


A credible election result is important for the country and for U.S. President Barack Obama, who has made stabilizing Afghanistan a top foreign policy priority.


Obama already plans to increase the number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan to about 68,000 by year's end, more than double the 32,000 the United States had there at the end of 2008.


Mullen declined to comment on U.S. media reports that McChyrstal might recommend additional increases of 15,000, 25,000 or 45,000 troops.


He said the United States faced a multi-year effort to establish security and enable Afghan forces to maintain it.


"I don't see this as a mission of endless drift. I think we know what to do, we've learned a lot of lessons from Iraq, focusing on the Afghan people," Mullen said.


Asked about an exit strategy, Mullen said: "I've said from a military perspective I believe we've got to start to turn this thing around from a security standpoint in the next 12 to 18 months."


"And I think after that we'd have a better view of how long it's going to take and what we need to do."



Sen. John McCain, the Republican who lost to Obama in last year's presidential election, said on Sunday he did not believe there were enough troops on the ground in Afghanistan.


McCain told ABC's "This Week" that the "clock is ticking" on American public opinion of the Afghan war.


"I think you need to see a reversal of these very alarming and disturbing trends on attacks, casualties and areas of the country that the Taliban has increased control of," he said. (Additional reporting David Lawder; Editing by Doina Chiacu)

Indian Elections In Kashmir: The Impact On Freedom


State assembly elections have been held in Indian-occupied Jammu and Kashmir in the past and are likely to continue to be held in the future. If history is any guide, it can safely be inferred that they will neither be accepted by the people of Jammu and Kashmir as a substitute to the right to self-determination or plebiscite, nor they diminish freedom sentiments in the valley.




By Awais Bin Wasi






Introduction


In November-December 2008, the eleventh round of elections, comprising 87 seats, was held in Indian Held Kashmir (IHK). Although elections in this disputed area, which consists of the Kashmir Valley, Jammu and Ladakh regions[1], have always been a focus of world attention, the circumstances and turnout of the 2008 elections gave them added significance.


Indian officials tend to present elections in IHK before the international community as a touchstone for gauging the current trend and vigor of the freedom movement in the valley and for projecting future political developments. Following the 2008 elections, India claimed in the United Nations (UN) that the peaceful conduct of elections was an indication of the consent and acknowledgement of the people of Jammu and Kashmir regarding Kashmir's accession to the Indian union.[2]


Voter turnout in the 2008 elections [3] was higher than analysts had expected. The elections were held in the backdrop of an unprecedented mass uprising in the wake of the Amarnath yatra controversy [4] . Most observers had projected that elections would either be postponed or, if they were held, voter turnout would be minimal. [5] However, the elections were held according to the stipulated schedule and a large number of people exercised their right to franchise, contrary to previous elections,, [6] in which successful boycott campaigns had kept voter turnout very low.


The high voter turnout was interpreted by some quarters, including even the Indian National Congress President Sonia Gandhi, as proof that the freedom movement in Kashmir had lost impetus. [7] The question arises whether the election results, or for that matter the conduct of the 2008 elections, really signify that support for freedom has decreased.


This question is examined in this paper based on a consideration of the historical dynamics of the Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) state assembly elections, the environment and manner in which the 2008 elections were held, and an analysis of the implications of the elections' results and aftermath.



Historical Background of the J&K Elections


It is necessary to analyze the track record of J&K state assembly elections to understand the place of elections in the debate on the Kashmir issue, and the historical context of the 2008 elections. The following table provides a quick overview of the results of state assembly elections in J&K since 1951.





In the very first state assembly elections, held in 1951, the National Conference (NC), under the leadership of Sheikh Mohammad Abdullah, won all 75 seats of the Constituent Assembly without any contest as the authorities rejected the nomination papers of the major opposition party-Praja Parishad-on frivolous grounds, and the independent contestants dropped out at the last moment. [9]




In the second elections, held in 1957, the NC secured 68 seats, of which 43 were unopposed, [10] while in 1962, NC candidates ran for 41 seats in the valley and were returned unopposed to 34. In 1967, the Indian National Congress secured 57 seats, of which 22 were returned unopposed. [11]


"On all the three occasions - 1951, 1957, 1962 - the government machinery was completely and unhesitatingly used in support of the ruling party; opponents were disqualified on flimsy and frivolous grounds; the few dauntless candidates dared to stand for the contest were mercilessly beaten or kidnapped; Peace Brigade men were employed to intimidate voters; and when even strong arm methods failed, the ballot boxes were tampered with enabling polling officers to declare the victory of the National Conference party men." [12] The elections of 1962 were so thoroughly rigged, in fact, that Jawahar Lal Nehru, then Indian premier, was constrained to point out to G. M. Bakshi, the leader of NC at that time (as Sheikh Abdullah was in jail), that "it would strengthen your position more if you lost a few seats to bonafide opponents." [13]



Dynamics of Elections 2008


The turnout and results of the 2008 elections need to be seen in the context of internal and external political dynamics operating at the time in J&K. The following discussion outlines the strategy adopted by the Indian government to assure a higher turnout in the elections, including the undemocratic means adopted to silence the boycott campaign, as well as the public perceptions and external factors that may have influenced the voting.









Click to Read The Full Report Here



Maoist blitzkrieg forces Jharkhand cops to blink


BHUBANESWAR/RANCHI/PATNA: Maoists rampaged through parts of Orissa, Jharkhand and Bihar early Tuesday, the second day of their 48-hour bandh in three states, blowing up a railway station and a community centre and torching more than 12 vehicles. In the process they forced a rattled Jharkhand police to comply with their diktat.




The Maoists had called for a two-day bandh in these three states along with West Bengal and Chhattisgarh in protest against 'illegal detention' of two their top leaders. ''We had called the bandh to force the police (Jharkhand) to admit that they had arrested two of our comrades and produce them in Ranchi court before 5pm on Tuesday. Since they produced them an hour before 5pm, we are calling off the strike,'' CPI(Maoist) politburo member Kishanji said.




Earlier, the Jharkhand police, which had denied they had arrested two top Maoists, produced the two leaders - identified as Anil and Kartik - amid tight security in a Ranchi court. Late on Monday night, more than 70 Maoists blew up Roxi railway station, about 60 km from Rourkela in Orissa with landmines and abducted its station master and two other railway employees. They also attacked Bhalulata station, about 35 km from Roxi.




After blowing up the station building, they set fire to eight dumpers outside the station, the police said. At least three helpers were injured when the diesel tank of one of the dumpers burst. ''They kept us hostage for about six hours and freed us in the morning. They said we would be in trouble if we did not follow their bandh call,'' said assistant station master Arbind Kumar. South Eastern Railway CPRO Soumitra Mazumdar said some of the trains were detained at various stations after Maoists attacked Bhalulata

Pakistanis suffered most at the hands of al-Qaeda: US

By Sami Abraham




WASHINGTON DC: US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defence for Pakistan and Afghanistan David Sedney has said the United States and Pakistan share the common goal of destroying al-Qaeda, which was out there at the Pak-Afghan border trying to create another 9/11-like catastrophe.




Speaking exclusively to The News and Geo News here at the Pentagon, David Sedney said no nation had suffered at the hands of al-Qaeda the way Pakistanis had suffered after the 9/11 attacks and the United States not only acknowledged but appreciated the courage and bravery of the Pakistani people and Pak security forces with which they had put up a fight against al-Qaeda.




Replying to a question, David Sedney acknowledged that there was a shortfall of military supplies to Pakistanis but the US was working very hard to provide to Pak security forces whatever was needed in the fight against al-Qaeda in the rugged mountains along the Pak-Afghan border. He said the situation had improved and the Pakistani officials he met during the last several weeks did appreciate the US cooperation in this regard.




When asked whether there was any possibility of Pakistan getting drone technology in the near future, Sedney said both Pakistan and the US were engaged in expanding cooperation on the question of military supplies and technology transfer but it was not possible for him to discuss it openly.




However, he said, "I can tell you that cooperation between the two countries is increasing on the question of technology transfer."Sedney did not agree with the correspondent that drone technology was not being provided to Pakistan due to the Indian pressure and said there was a misperception in Pakistan about the US because of the Pakistani media. He said his colleagues and most of Pakistani-American friends had told him that the situation on the ground, even in Fata, was different from what was being painted in the Pakistani press.




Sedney agreed, in response to a query, that the reimbursement process of coalition support funds to Pakistan had been slow in the past. He said one must understand that we were dealing with bureaucracies of two countries, which have their own set of rules and regulations. He added there was yet a long way to go and things had improved and the last few payments were made faster, he added.




When asked why the US officials were asking Pakistanis to believe that the biggest threat to Pakistan was from terrorists and not from India whereas all the issues which had caused three wars between the two countries were still pending, Sedney said it was not his job to tell Pakistanis to believe or not who was the biggest threat for them.




He said he believed that terrorists, who had gathered along side the Pak-Afghan border, posed a greater danger not only to the US but the whole world, including Pakistan, and if they were not destroyed, the world should be ready to meet any eventuality.




Sedney said the past US decision of putting military sanctions on Pakistan was not a right decision, which resulted in creating a gulf between the forces of the two countries. He said it was very important to increase cooperation between the security forces of the two countries. The more the forces know about each other, the better would be the result of joint operations, he added.

India: For the fear of gods and men


Rupali Gaurav


As swine flu takes 25th victim in Pune, disease, frustration and corruption daubs dark molasses across India; Shabana Shaikh who succumbed to the deadly virus last week in the government-run Sassoon Hospital was not the only one dying helpless within the limping cast of Incredible India.


This is also the week in which Rajisthan declared 26 out of its 33 districts scarcity-hit. A record score of malnourished children residing in India and a sharply rising trend of suicide in the countryside speaks of the long drawn neglect on part of the government in providing for the shortcomings of the people and also explains for the rising despair and widespread frustration taking root in the society.


That being said for the natural calamities, fear hangs low in the neighborhoods of Orissa, Jharkand, Bihar, West Bengal and Chattisgarh leaving the locals panic-stricken and sabotaged as a result of the recent 48 hour Bandhh (shut-down protest) imposed by the Maoists that left Jharkand Police rattled, their futility exposed.


In Patna Maoists blew up two Mobile towers in Gaya district using 400 ultra detonated dynamites while also setting ablaze four vehicles at Talhautu in Rohtas district of Bihar during Tuesday, which was the second day of their 48 hour shut down in protest against detention of two of their top leaders.



Read Complete Article : India: For the fear of gods and men

Indian's hatred against Pakistan

This video shows the real intentions of HINDUs in INDIA against Pakistan. The clearly confess and shouts of finishing Pakistan and killing all religions from INDIAn soil beside Hinduism.


Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Out the Same Door We Came In



Eric S. Margolis


The United States and its allies have been lauding last week's presidential elections in Afghanistan as both a sign of growing support for Hamid Karzai's Western-backed government and a triumphant exercise in democracy.


In reality, the carefully stage-managed vote in Afghanistan for candidates chosen by Western powers is unlikely to bring either peace or democracy to this wretched nation that has suffered thirty years of non-stop war. An election held under the guns of a foreign occupation army cannot be called legitimate or democratic. That's a basic tenet of international law.


But such is the case in Iraq and Afghanistan. The Western powers have been quick to condemn Iran for its last flawed election, but even quicker to pre-determine the results of Afghanistan's poll, which was marked by fraud and low turnout.


Taleban and its nationalist allies rejected the vote as a fraud designed to validate continued foreign occupation and open the way for Western oil and gas pipelines. Taleban, which speaks for many of Afghanistan's majority Pashtun, said it would only join a national election when US and NATO troops withdraw. After all the pre-election hoopla in Afghanistan, to paraphrase Omar Khayyam, we come out the same door we went in.


Election results won't be in for two weeks. But the winner will be whomever Washington decides is to be its man in Kabul.


The Obama administration is that it is fed up with Hamid Karzai, but can't fine an acceptable alternative. What the US would really like is a new version of the late Najibullah, the iron-fisted strongman who ran Afghanistan for the Soviets. The Western powers have marketed the Afghan War to their voters by claiming it is all about democracy, women's rights, education and nation building. President Barack Obama claims the US is in Afghanistan to fight Al Qaeda. But Al Qaeda barely exists. Its handful of members long ago decamped to Pakistan. This war is really about oil pipeline routes and Western domination of the energy-rich Caspian Basin.


Afghanistan's Pashtun tribes, who make up 55 per cent of the population, remain excluded from power. Afghanistan is a three-legged ethnic stool. Take away the Pashtun leg and stability is impossible. There will be neither peace nor stability in Afghanistan until the Pashtun majority is enfranchised.


This means dealing directly with Taleban, which is part of the Pashtun people. The Western powers cannot run Afghanistan by using the minority Tajiks and Uzbeks. The solution to this unnecessary war is not more phony elections but a comprehensive peace agreement between ethnic factions that largely restores status quo before the 1970 Soviet invasion. That means a weak central government in Kabul (Karzai is ideal for this job), and a high degree of autonomy for self-governing Pashtun, Tajik, Uzbek and Hazara regions.


The government should revert to the old 'loya jirga' system of tribal sit-downs, where decision are made by consensus, often after lengthy haggling. That is the way of the Afghans and of traditional Islamic society.


All foreign soldiers must withdraw. A diplomatic 'cordon sanitaire' should be drawn around Afghanistan's borders, returning it to its traditional role as a neutral buffer state. The powers now stirring the Afghan pot - the US, NATO, India, Iran, Russia, the Communist Central Asian states - must cease meddling. They have become part of the Afghan problem. Afghans must be allowed to slowly resolve their differences the traditional Afghan way even if it initially means blood and revenge attacks. That's unavoidable. All Afghans must share future pipeline royalties. The only way to end the epidemic of drug trading is to shut border crossings to Pakistan and the Central Asian states. But those nation's high officials, corrupted by drug money, will resist. The US and NATO can't solve Afghanistan's social or political problems by continuing to wage a cruel and apparently endless war.


A senior British general just warned his troops might have to stay for another 40 years. He quickly was forced to retract, but the cat was out of the bag.


The Western powers have added to the bloody mess in Afghanistan.


Time for them to go home. Let the Saudis and Gulf States help negotiate an end to this war. Afghanistan needs real peace-making, not phony elections.



Eric S Margolis is a veteran US journalist who has reported from the Middle East, Pakistan and Afghanistan for several years

“Ramadan Kareem,” White House says

By Michelle Austein Brooks

Today President Obama issued Ramadan greetings to Muslim communities around the world. During Ramadan, which begins today, Muslims fast daily from dawn to sunset for 29 or 30 days. It is also a holiday during which Muslims reach out to those less fortunate.

The president’s greetings have been translated into twelve languages and can be read on the White House Web site.


Afghan challenger alleges fraud







The main challenger in presidential elections held in Afghanistan last week, Abdullah Abdullah, has alleged widespread fraud.







Mr Abdullah said there might have been 'thousands of violations'


Mr Abdullah said he had evidence that voting had been widely rigged in favour of incumbent President Hamid Karzai.


The allegations had been sent to the Electoral Complaints Commission (ECC) for investigation, he said.


A leading group of election observers has also said intimidation and voting fraud occurred in Thursday's poll.



The campaign teams for Mr Karzai and Mr Abdullah - a former foreign minister - each claim their candidate won an outright majority.


Preliminary results are due in the coming days, but the final result is not expected for several weeks.



'Alarming reports'


Mr Abdullah said his team had been told that voter turnout had been significantly inflated in some areas where few votes were cast, with the extra ballots marked in favour of Mr Karzai.


"The initial reports we are receiving are alarming," Mr Abdullah was quoted as saying by Reuters news agency.


"There might have been thousands of violations throughout the country, no doubt about it."


Meanwhile, the ECC said it had received more than 200 complaints about the electoral process.


ECC spokesman Grant Kippen said the watchdog was aware of "significant complaints" of irregularities, including voter intimidation, violence, ballot box tampering and interference by some Afghan election officials.


But, he added, there were no specific charges against individual candidates such as Mr Karzai.


Afghan and Western officials have declared Thursday's poll a success, despite concerns about the turnout.


Richard Holbrooke, the US special envoy to Afghanistan, said allegations of fraud were to be expected.


"We have disputed elections in the United States," he said. "There may be some questions here. That wouldn't surprise me at all."


Mr Holbrooke said Washington would wait for rulings from both Afghanistan's Independent Election Commission and the ECC before commenting on the election's legitimacy.


The credibility of the vote may be brought into question by reports that turnout in some areas, such as the restive Helmand province, was as low as 5%, analysts say.

Krishna indicates India in no hurry to restart talks with Pakistan


By Iftikhar Gilani




NEW DELHI: India on Monday indicated it was in no hurry to restart the composite dialogue process with Pakistan, even after agreeing to de-link terrorism with normal dialogue at a bilateral summit in Sharm El-Sheikh last July.




Inaugurating the annual 'Head of Missions Conference', External Affairs Minister SM Krishna said India was yet to see Pakistan take steps to end infiltration and dismantle terror infrastructure. He said "meaningful dialogue" with Pakistan was possible only after Islamabad fulfilled its commitments not to allow its territory to be used for activities against India.




The minister said New Delhi wanted to resolve differences with Islamabad through dialogue.




Krishna said that following the Mumbai terror attacks, Pakistan had taken only "some steps under pressure of evidence given to them".

US steps up its Central Asian tango



By M K Bhadrakumar





With the signing of military agreement between the United States and Uzbekistan at Tashkent last Thursday by the US Central Command chief General David Petraeus and Uzbek Defense Minister Kabul Berdiyev, Uzbekistan's geopolitical positioning has phenomenally shifted.




The agreement envisages "a program of military contacts, including carrying out educational exchanges and training in the future", according to the terse American Embassy statement. The embassy sidestepped Russian press reports that the US was seeking military bases in Uzbekistan, saying the information regarding "discussions on a military base does not correspond with reality". But speculation continues, especially as Petraeus held a meaningful discussion with Uzbek President Islam Karimov on "key regional issues" focusing on the situation in Afghanistan.




Karimov, who is careful with what he conveys, gave an upbeat account of his meeting: "Uzbekistan attaches great importance to further development of relations with the United States and is ready to expand constructive bilateral and multilateral cooperation based on mutual respect and equal partnership ... Relations between our countries are developing in an upward direction. The fact we are meeting again [second time in six months] shows that both sides are interested in strengthening the ties." (Emphasis added.)





According to Karimov's spokesperson, "Petraeus told Karimov that the current US administration is interested in cooperation with Uzbekistan in several areas. During the conversation, the sides exchanged opinions on perspectives for Uzbek-US relations, and also on other issues of mutual interest."




It is tempting to view the development as Tashkent's swift response to the Russian move to establish a second military base in Kyrgyzstan close to Ferghana Valley. But Uzbek foreign policy moves take place with deliberation. Quite clearly, when Tashkent aims at a military relationship with the US as well as the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), it is more than a knee-jerk reaction.




There is growing disquiet in Tashkent that in the race for regional leadership, Kazakhstan has been upstaging Uzbekistan. Tashkent is also wary that Russia is strengthening its military presence in Central Asia. Meanwhile, the Central Asia policy of the Barack Obama administration has crystallized as a resolute agenda to roll back Russia's regional influence. Indeed, the US has repeatedly assured that it will not pursue intrusive policies regarding Uzbek internal affairs.




Tashkent sizes up the Taliban surge


Tashkent has factored in all this. Yet the crucial salient is the Afghan situation. Tashkent needs to quickly prepare itself to deal with the Taliban's reappearance in the Amu Darya region.




A situation comparable with 10 years ago is arising. Once again, the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), which is based in Afghanistan and armed and trained by the Taliban reportedly, is making incursions into Central Asia. Rashid Dostum used to act as the frontier guard of the Amu Darya until 1998. Tashkent funded him, equipped him and pampered him. But then in October 1998, when the Taliban marched into the Amu Darya region, he fled. Karimov never forgave him for the dereliction of duty. Dostum had to take shelter in Turkey.




Besides, there is the "Tajik factor". There are more Tajiks within Afghanistan than in Tajikistan. Tajik nationalism always worries Tashkent. Dostum used to keep the Tajik factor at bay. Occasionally, he interfered within Tajikistan, with Tashkent's covert support, to keep leaders in the Tajik capital of Dushanbe rattled. Tashkent also used to shelter the ethnic Uzbek rebel Mahmud Khudaberdiyev from Tajikistan and deploy him for cross-border attacks. But the Russian military presence in Tajikistan since April 1998 prevented Tashkent from bullying the neighboring country.




Thus, there is a sea-change today in the Amu Daya region. Essentially, Tashkent has to depend on NATO contingents to act as a buffer between the Taliban and Uzbek territory, which is not realistic. The German contingents of NATO, which are deployed in the Amu Darya region, operate within so-called "caveats". The futility of their presence is obvious from the fact that the Taliban have consolidated their presence in Kunduz province.




Above all, the Ferghana Valley is on the boil. But given the perceived Russia-Tajikistan nexus and the underlying tensions of the unresolved Uzbek-Tajik nationality question - Joseph Stalin's legacy - Tashkent cannot trust Moscow as the arbiter of regional stability. Also, Moscow supports Dushanbe in the latter's dispute with Tashkent on the sharing of water originating from the Pamir glaciers, which is an issue waiting to explode, fraught with immense consequences for regional security.




Tashkent's Timurid legacy


In the second half of 1999, when Tashkent began making peace with the Taliban regime in Kabul, diplomatic observers were taken by surprise - even as Uzbek rhetoric transformed from characterizing the Taliban as the "main source of fanaticism and extremism in the region" to "a partner in the struggle for regional peace" and Karimov began suggesting that recognizing the Taliban regime was worth considering.


Tashkent's volte face then and now bear striking parallels. In 1999, too, Karimov factored in that the Taliban were the lesser of the two evils threatening the Uzbek vision of Central Asia, in comparison with a strengthened Russian military presence. Ten years ago, in analogous circumstances, Moscow began robustly moving to tighten collective security between Russia and the Central Asian states.




In October 1999, Moscow signed a formal pact with several Central Asian states for rapid troop deployment, strikingly similar to the current Russian initiative of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) forming a rapid reaction force. Tashkent opted out of the collective security agreement under Russian leadership. By October 1999, Tashkent had already commenced talks with the Taliban.




Tashkent has always been wary of Russia's motives and its military presence in Central Asia, which, it believes, undermines Uzbekistan's position as the region's sole military power. Thus, all said, it shouldn't come as surprise that Tashkent decided it's best to make some political capital by resuscitating relations with the US.




Tashkent feels more threatened by the IMU than by the Taliban. Put another way, Tashkent wouldn't want to make an enemy of the Taliban. In 1999, Tashkent offered diplomatic recognition of the Taliban regime as a quid pro quo for the latter's renunciation of the IMU.




The Uzbeks harbor a historical sense of being the inheritors of Tamerlane's legacy. Reconciliation with the Taliban enables Tashkent to realize the ambitious goals of being the principal architect of peace in the region; of ejecting the Russian military presence in Central Asia; and of advancing Uzbek standing as the regional hegemon.




The complex Uzbek mindset offers productive opportunities for US regional policies. No doubt, the US will manipulate in the coming weeks the creation of a power equation in Kabul, which is completely amenable to Washington's agenda of reconciliation with the Taliban. As British Foreign Secretary David Miliband underscored in his recent speech at NATO headquarters in Brussels, the US and Britain are today open-minded about reconciling with the Taliban - even allowing Taliban cadres to retain weapons.




However, the Taliban's regional acceptability remains a contentious issue. There has to be a broad regional acceptability of the Taliban. This is where Tashkent's volte face becomes a strategic asset for Washington. Apart from Pakistan, which roots for the Taliban's reconciliation, Washington can now count on Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan to acquiesce with the process.




Amu Darya region in flux


Uzbekistan is a key player in the Amu Darya region - no less than Pakistan in the Pashtun heartlands. An axis with Tashkent in northern Afghanistan and with Islamabad in south and southeastern Afghanistan will be the matrix the US needs as it addresses the Taliban's reconciliation and return to mainstream political life in Afghanistan.




Ideally, Washington would have wrapped up a similar axis with Dushanbe as well, but the Russian presence in Tajikistan precluded it. On the other hand, the US can derive comfort that the Afghan Tajiks are today a divided lot and the US has successfully kept the "Panjshiri" factions from uniting.




If the US manages to get Abdullah Abdullah elected to succeed President Hamid Karzai in Kabul, it will immensely help shackle irrendist elements fueling Tajik nationalism. But if Karzai gets elected, the US faces a potential challenger in Mohammed Fahim, his vice presidential nominee. Fahim, unlike Abdullah, who is a public relations man, has extensive intelligence and military background. Actually, Fahim and Dostum are the two "spoilers" that the US is most nervous about as it prepares to commence the reconciliation process with the Taliban.




Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan - and China - had dealings with the Taliban in the 1990s and would have no qualms about reviving such dealings today if that would stabilize Afghanistan. China, in particular, has huge stakes in the opening up of Afghanistan as a transit route to world markets.




The robust US regional diplomacy in Central Asia has succeeded in weaning away Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan from Russian influence. Washington has negotiated transit corridor agreements with them and begun stationing military personnel in the Turkmen capital, Ashgabat. (The deputy chief of general staff of the British armed forces, Jeff Mason, is currently visiting Ashgabat.) The US is promoting Turkmen-Uzbek amity (Karimov is preparing to visit Ashgabat). Washington has held out economic and business opportunities in the Afghan reconstruction. Last but not the least, the US is fostering NATO's ties with these countries.




It is a remarkable tally. The US can now work on a transit corridor for Afghanistan from Georgia and Azerbaijan via Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan that bypasses Russian territory. Writing for the New York Times, Andrew Kuchins of the Center for Strategic and International Studies recently underscored that skepticism of Russian intentions - "how much Russia wants to see the US succeed in Afghanistan" - runs high in Washington.




Iran a game changer


Kuchins wrote:



In our recent discussions in Tashkent with very high-level Uzbek government officials, this question came up repeatedly, and the answers we got were not reassuring ... Uzbek officials are deeply skeptical of Moscow. They believe the Russians see their interests best served by continued instability in Afghanistan. Instability will increase both the terrorist threat to Central Asia as well as the flow of drugs, and serve to justify a heightened Russian military presence in the region ...




Tashkent views the growing Russian military presence in the region as a security threat ... Uzbek skepticism about Russian goals is so deep that several key figures intimated that when it comes to Afghanistan, Iran would be a more reliable partner for Washington than Moscow.



Surely, the best means of tackling the "Tajik factor" in Afghanistan will be through Washington's engagement of Tehran. Iranian ambassador in Kabul, Fada Hossein Maleki, was quoted as saying last week that Tehran was prepared for talks with the US on Afghanistan provided Washington eschewed interference in Iran's internal affairs. Maleki said:



What was mentioned by Mr Obama after his election indicated a change of idiom in comparison with the previous US president. Unfortunately, after the victory of President Mahmud Ahmedinejad, we saw inconsiderate interferences by the Americans [in Iran's domestic affairs]. It is natural that if a unified and single approach is adopted, our officials would review it and there are many issues in Afghanistan on which we can cooperate with other countries.



Iran can be a game-changer. But it takes two to tango. The big question on the Afghan chessboard today is whether Obama will sidestep the pro-Israeli lobby within his administration and the US Congress and reach for the door that opens into vistas of engagement with Maleki's superiors in Tehran. Maybe Obama should pluck a leaf out of Karimov's chronicle.




Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar was a career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service. His assignments included the Soviet Union, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kuwait and Turkey.




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